The cross-modal table lists 123 fatalities per billion km travelled for mopeds + motorcycles, and 2.9 for cars. So, in order to work out my chances of dying over a lifetime of biking or driving:
- Assume I travel an average of 20,000km a year
- Assume I do this for 40 years
- Distance travelled in my lifetime = 800,000km
Feel free to tell me my methods are flawed as I'm not certain myself, but otherwise:
That means my chances of dying if I choose to ride a motorcycle over a car are 42 times greater!
I hope I'm a safer rider than some, but even so. I think I may well be buying and using a car where possible too.
UPDATE: Thanks wechsler for pointing out an English billion is in fact a million million..
UPDATE2: Thanks growf and racinghippo for pointing out that the English billion has been depreciated.
UPDATE3: Thanks all, but I also wanted to know my likelihood of dying as a percentage over my lifetime. The difference was incidental :)
UPDATE4: This is getting ridiculous. Apologies to wechsler for spelling his name incorrectly!